Unless I am mistaken, there will be no Survivor this week. Again, this is due to March Madness. I, for one, am more than willing to make the sacrifice. Go Bruins! Don't stop my heart like you guys did against A&M.
I thought I would take this opportunity to handicap the rest of this season.
Players who Will Not Win
This is a bold move, but I am willing to go out on a limb.
1. Dan Stump. Sorry, I just don't see a scenario in which people vote for Eliza.
2. Daren Blomquist. Parvati has really done nothing to deserve to win. If she gets to the end with James, he will beat her in a landslide.
3. Eric Wood. Natalie has been more than anonymous this season.
4. Karina Franklin. I would be willing to waver on this much more than the others. I suppose there is some scenario in which Amy could win, but she has not done much so far.
The exception to this is, if three of these four women make up the final three, one of them will have to win.
Players who Can Win
1. Alison Gentry. Alexis is mentally solid and very likable. She has not done any major moves, but she could easily get brought along and then dethrone the power players.
2. Andrea Moffat. Amanda is smart. I just cringe, though, to think of her at another final tribal. She so tanked it last time.
3. Megan Wood. Erik is athletic and could win some challenges. He just has to make it through this next vote, and then get limped in with the Favs.
Players who Deserve to Win
1. Angela Stump. Ozzy is the star of this season so far. With his mad skills, his alliance, and his immunity idol, he will be hard to beat.
2. Mirranda Meacham. Jason is not on Ozzy's level, but he is great in the challenges and a nice enough guy. Not too bright, though.
3. Kelly McAllister. James is so good around camp, and so good in the challenges that he qualifies as a deserving player.
4. Dan Franklin. You knew this was coming, and I dare you to disagree. Cirie has been masterful in positioning herself in this game. I don't know how much longer she can go without being exposed and voted off in a landslide, but I hope she can take it all the way.
Interesting Notes
There are eleven constestants remains. 7 women, 4 men. This gives the women a chance to pull one over on the men. While this is often talked about, this has never happened in any season.
Also, there are 7 Favs and 4 Fans. But when the merge happens, will the Favs reunite, or will new alliances hold firm?
Over/Under
Jason's final position: 9
Erik's final position: 10
Alexis' final position: 4
Amanda's final position: 2
Ozzy's final position: 2
James' final position: 5
Natalie's final position: 6
Eliza's final position: 5
Parvati's final position: 4
Cirie's final position: 4
Amy's final position: 6
Number of individual immunities that Ozzy wins: 5
Number of fans in the final 3: 1
Number of women in the final 3: 2
There's my take. Feel free to give yours.
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Curtis Leaves the Show
Well, Tracey had a good run. She was a much better player than I thought she would be. But she just had some bad luck (the Joel blindside, the switched tribes, Chet leaving the game). Sorry, Curtis. Thanks for joining us. I feel bad that you lost Tracey right after your long comment about how pleased you were with her. Bummer.
Oh, and we also lost my sister Ami for the second time. She picked up Kathleen after Mary got voted off. I felt a little bad for Kathy, but not too bad. It always kind of irks me when someone can't handle it mentally. A month is a long time to be away from family, but it is very doable. Well, anyway, she's home now and happy.
So, no video at all of Jason and Tracey on Exile Island. I guess it just loses its interest when both the real and the fake Immunity Idol are found.
So, not much action as far as the switching of power positions.
And now for a new section called. . .
How About
How about the not-so-bright Jason helping bring Airai back from a big deficit in the puzzle challenge.
How about Erik as Ozzy's protege.
How about Amy's super-complicated master plan to get Ozzy off, but it didn't work.
How about my girl Cirie being able to sniff out anything weird going on when Tribal Council is approaching.
How about my girl Cirie having the best line of the episode: "When Erik speaks Ozzy's name, star dust comes out of his mouth." And also, speaking of Erik, "If Ozzy proposed marriage. . .done deal!"
Top 5 people most likely to be voted of next:
5. James. If his tribe finally loses and if the girls all turn on him to get him off before the merge. Not likely, but possible.
4. Jason. Same scenario as James.
3. Ozzy. Not likely, but possible. They keep making it look like he's going to go.
2. Amy. Malakal will probably lose again, and they may want to keep Erik around.
1. Erik. Last remaining fan on Malakal. Also, it looks like he gets hurt this next episode. That could cost him.
I thought Tracey would be the first member of the jury. She was voted off in 12th place. Lately when they have started with 20 players, they have started the jury at 12th place. I guess they are probably starting at 10th place, like last season. Either way, we are getting close to the jury being in. Congrats to the top 11:
Karina Franklin
Dan Franklin
Angela Stump
Dan Stump
Megan Wood
Eric Wood
Daren Blomquist
Andrea Moffat
Kelly McAllister
Mirranda Meacham
Alison Gentry
P.S. My conspiracy theory on Alexis is still alive. Again, she was interviewed this episode. They always seem to work her in.
Oh, and we also lost my sister Ami for the second time. She picked up Kathleen after Mary got voted off. I felt a little bad for Kathy, but not too bad. It always kind of irks me when someone can't handle it mentally. A month is a long time to be away from family, but it is very doable. Well, anyway, she's home now and happy.
So, no video at all of Jason and Tracey on Exile Island. I guess it just loses its interest when both the real and the fake Immunity Idol are found.
So, not much action as far as the switching of power positions.
And now for a new section called. . .
How About
How about the not-so-bright Jason helping bring Airai back from a big deficit in the puzzle challenge.
How about Erik as Ozzy's protege.
How about Amy's super-complicated master plan to get Ozzy off, but it didn't work.
How about my girl Cirie being able to sniff out anything weird going on when Tribal Council is approaching.
How about my girl Cirie having the best line of the episode: "When Erik speaks Ozzy's name, star dust comes out of his mouth." And also, speaking of Erik, "If Ozzy proposed marriage. . .done deal!"
Top 5 people most likely to be voted of next:
5. James. If his tribe finally loses and if the girls all turn on him to get him off before the merge. Not likely, but possible.
4. Jason. Same scenario as James.
3. Ozzy. Not likely, but possible. They keep making it look like he's going to go.
2. Amy. Malakal will probably lose again, and they may want to keep Erik around.
1. Erik. Last remaining fan on Malakal. Also, it looks like he gets hurt this next episode. That could cost him.
I thought Tracey would be the first member of the jury. She was voted off in 12th place. Lately when they have started with 20 players, they have started the jury at 12th place. I guess they are probably starting at 10th place, like last season. Either way, we are getting close to the jury being in. Congrats to the top 11:
Karina Franklin
Dan Franklin
Angela Stump
Dan Stump
Megan Wood
Eric Wood
Daren Blomquist
Andrea Moffat
Kelly McAllister
Mirranda Meacham
Alison Gentry
P.S. My conspiracy theory on Alexis is still alive. Again, she was interviewed this episode. They always seem to work her in.
Monday, March 17, 2008
Wednesday Survivor
Don't know if any of you saw, but Survivor will be on Wednesday night this week. Why, you ask?
MARCH MADNESS!!!!!
If you don't know what March Madness is, it is the college basketball tournament. It begins Thursday night. UCLA all the way, baby.
Anyway, I had to comment on the comments. I have to say, some of the comments left of these posts have been top notch. When I first saw Mirranda's comment about Chet looking down at his foot after Jeff announced about Jonathan, I about fell out of my chair. When I was reading Megan's comment to Karina, I could barely get through it coherently because I was laughing so hard. I loved Chet's hypothetical questions at the final tribal council. I am laughing now, just remembering it. If you didn't see them, read the comments on the previous post. They are way better than the post itself.
Anyway, props to the Survivor of the Week: My sister Ami, who lives in Atlanta and survived the tornado. Now let's see if Crazy Lady can survive her own meltdown.
MARCH MADNESS!!!!!
If you don't know what March Madness is, it is the college basketball tournament. It begins Thursday night. UCLA all the way, baby.
Anyway, I had to comment on the comments. I have to say, some of the comments left of these posts have been top notch. When I first saw Mirranda's comment about Chet looking down at his foot after Jeff announced about Jonathan, I about fell out of my chair. When I was reading Megan's comment to Karina, I could barely get through it coherently because I was laughing so hard. I loved Chet's hypothetical questions at the final tribal council. I am laughing now, just remembering it. If you didn't see them, read the comments on the previous post. They are way better than the post itself.
Anyway, props to the Survivor of the Week: My sister Ami, who lives in Atlanta and survived the tornado. Now let's see if Crazy Lady can survive her own meltdown.
Friday, March 14, 2008
Dave Walks off into the Sunset, Greg Finally Goes Home
Well, finally watched the episode this afternoon. There were some nervous moments. When Amy started talking about taking out Cirie, I thought it was over. Even if they had taken out Ozzy, it would have pretty much been over for my gal. Whew. Relief.
Greg, sorry that you are out. That said, I am not sorry that Chet is out. It just would not be right for him to make the merge. Glad he finally just called it quits. He just didn't have it. 'Nuff said.
I have to admit that they had me. I thought they would vote off Ozzy. Tracy was obviously trying to get him to waste the idol.
Man, Tracy is good. I like that gal.
Amy missed her chance (not through any fault of her own).
I thought James was in trouble too. If his tribe loses, he is very vulnerable.
Does Jason really think that he has the immunity idol? Priceless! I hope he ends up playing it.
The real tragedy of this episode was that we lost Dave/Jonathan. As I already mentioned, Jonathan was not only my favorite returning survivor, but also one of my all-time favs. He is the last person who would ever quit. You knew it was over, though, when they said the words, "could be fatal." Ang, can you confirm that he did the right thing? Brutal. I was so, so bummed. The game just won't be the same without him.
Who's Stock is Up
1. Ang. Ozzy's stock is always up these days.
2. Alison. I may be a conspiracy theorist, but they always seems to work in an Alexis interview, even when she does not do much in the episode. Coincidence? Hmmm.
3. Kelly. James may be vulnerable, but you have to give him props. He won that immunity challenge for them. He is awesome.
4. Dan Stump. Eliza seems to be in absolutely no danger. She is in a great position. The tribe switch really helped her. That said, she will never win. Way too annoying. Maybe Cirie will, out of the goodness of her heart, take Eliza to the finals with her.
Whose Stock Went Down
1. Mirranda. Actually, Jason is in no danger at all. At the same time, he has to take a hit for falling for the hidden immunity idol. I can only hope that it will play into things.
2. Curtis. Tracy is awesome, but she is likely to be next. In fact, very likely. If Malakal had voted off Ozzy, they would have NO chance of winning any challenges. As it is, though, they have been getting creamed with him. Losing Chet will help (sorry Greg). We'll see. I hope Tracy can stick around.
That's it.
Top 5 vulnerable people next week:
5. Eliza. Probably not, but if her tribe loses, she could be voted off by the fans as the weakest non-fan.
4. Erik. Again, probably not, but he is a man without much help, and his tribe has been losing.
3. James. As stated, if his tribe loses, the fans could vote him out as their biggest threat.
2. Kathleen. From the preview for next week, it looks like she is cracking up. If her tribe continues their winning ways, though, she'll be fine.
1. Tracy. Her tribe keeps losing, and she seems to be next. Bummer that she lost Chet (although I am SOOOOO glad Chet is gone; no offense).
Isn't it great that when you say "no offense," you can then say whatever you want?
"No offense, but that is the ugliest haircut I've ever seen."
"Oh, none taken. Thanks for noticing."
Odd.
Greg, sorry that you are out. That said, I am not sorry that Chet is out. It just would not be right for him to make the merge. Glad he finally just called it quits. He just didn't have it. 'Nuff said.
I have to admit that they had me. I thought they would vote off Ozzy. Tracy was obviously trying to get him to waste the idol.
Man, Tracy is good. I like that gal.
Amy missed her chance (not through any fault of her own).
I thought James was in trouble too. If his tribe loses, he is very vulnerable.
Does Jason really think that he has the immunity idol? Priceless! I hope he ends up playing it.
The real tragedy of this episode was that we lost Dave/Jonathan. As I already mentioned, Jonathan was not only my favorite returning survivor, but also one of my all-time favs. He is the last person who would ever quit. You knew it was over, though, when they said the words, "could be fatal." Ang, can you confirm that he did the right thing? Brutal. I was so, so bummed. The game just won't be the same without him.
Who's Stock is Up
1. Ang. Ozzy's stock is always up these days.
2. Alison. I may be a conspiracy theorist, but they always seems to work in an Alexis interview, even when she does not do much in the episode. Coincidence? Hmmm.
3. Kelly. James may be vulnerable, but you have to give him props. He won that immunity challenge for them. He is awesome.
4. Dan Stump. Eliza seems to be in absolutely no danger. She is in a great position. The tribe switch really helped her. That said, she will never win. Way too annoying. Maybe Cirie will, out of the goodness of her heart, take Eliza to the finals with her.
Whose Stock Went Down
1. Mirranda. Actually, Jason is in no danger at all. At the same time, he has to take a hit for falling for the hidden immunity idol. I can only hope that it will play into things.
2. Curtis. Tracy is awesome, but she is likely to be next. In fact, very likely. If Malakal had voted off Ozzy, they would have NO chance of winning any challenges. As it is, though, they have been getting creamed with him. Losing Chet will help (sorry Greg). We'll see. I hope Tracy can stick around.
That's it.
Top 5 vulnerable people next week:
5. Eliza. Probably not, but if her tribe loses, she could be voted off by the fans as the weakest non-fan.
4. Erik. Again, probably not, but he is a man without much help, and his tribe has been losing.
3. James. As stated, if his tribe loses, the fans could vote him out as their biggest threat.
2. Kathleen. From the preview for next week, it looks like she is cracking up. If her tribe continues their winning ways, though, she'll be fine.
1. Tracy. Her tribe keeps losing, and she seems to be next. Bummer that she lost Chet (although I am SOOOOO glad Chet is gone; no offense).
Isn't it great that when you say "no offense," you can then say whatever you want?
"No offense, but that is the ugliest haircut I've ever seen."
"Oh, none taken. Thanks for noticing."
Odd.
Monday, March 10, 2008
Late Post
Just a note to you diehards. I will be on Prayer Retreat for my seminary class on (you guessed it) Prayer from Wednesday night until Friday afternoon. So, I will be a little delayed in posting about the episode on Thursday night, because I probably will not watch it until Friday night.
So, Dave, Rich, anyone else, don't do any spoiler text messages. That's just cruel.
My prediction of who could be in trouble this next week:
1. Greg. Chet is always in trouble. He is soooo bad. Sorry.
2. Karina. In the preview for the next episode, it looked like Amy was starting to flip. That could backfire.
3. Curtis. When it looked like Amy was flipping, it looked like she was getting tight with Tracey. That might make Tracey a target.
4. Ami. Kathleen is always vulnerable, just like Chet.
5. Megan. Erik is in trouble after Joel get ousted.
6. Dan Stump. Eliza is weak, so she is always vulnerable.
7. Dave. Unfortuntaly, Jonathan may be faced with a choice between staying on the show or continuing to live. Bad luck.
I think that's it. I would be surprised if anyone outisde of these 7 got voted off next. Could happen, though. Who knows?
So, Dave, Rich, anyone else, don't do any spoiler text messages. That's just cruel.
My prediction of who could be in trouble this next week:
1. Greg. Chet is always in trouble. He is soooo bad. Sorry.
2. Karina. In the preview for the next episode, it looked like Amy was starting to flip. That could backfire.
3. Curtis. When it looked like Amy was flipping, it looked like she was getting tight with Tracey. That might make Tracey a target.
4. Ami. Kathleen is always vulnerable, just like Chet.
5. Megan. Erik is in trouble after Joel get ousted.
6. Dan Stump. Eliza is weak, so she is always vulnerable.
7. Dave. Unfortuntaly, Jonathan may be faced with a choice between staying on the show or continuing to live. Bad luck.
I think that's it. I would be surprised if anyone outisde of these 7 got voted off next. Could happen, though. Who knows?
Thursday, March 6, 2008
Rich, Don't Say I Didn't Warn You
So, Joel goes home. While I am sort of torn over Chet sticking around (it just doesn't seem right), I think there is great justice about Joel getting voted off. Man, the look on Tracey's face was priceless. Almost as priceless as the look on Joel's when he saw his name for the third time. Totally shocked. It is rare that you hear someone admit that they are genuinely embarassed. Joel was genuinely embarassed about the fact that Chet outlasted him. Wow.
Rich, I tried to warn you about the huge strong guys. It's okay, though. Fun while it lasted.
So, let me hear it. How about my girl! Cirie is a master at making things happen and then fading back in. She has controlled two of the three votes in which she was involved, and yet she has not put herself out there as the one controlling things. She is amazing. Love my pick.
Good Episode
1. Andrea. Amanda got on the same team as Ozzy, which was huge for her. Then she caught a shark. Nice.
2. Me. I have already sung the praises of Cirie. She saw it coming that she needed to swing things before she lost her chance.
3. Dan Stump. Jonathan's injury may give Eliza some room to be something other than the weakest player on her tribe.
4. Mirranda. Jason was in trouble on his tribe, so it is a good thing he got mixed up.
5. Curtis. Great moment for Tracey to see Joel ousted. Also, she didn't slip into a vulnerable position. Cirie helped her out.
Bad Episode
1. Dave. Jonathan's injury may really take him down a level. He may have trouble participating. That is a shame because he is such a great player, and so much fun to watch.
2. Megan. Erik is now in trouble on his new tribe.
3. Daren. Not really. Parvati is fine. The only problem is that James might move on now that she has that HUGE far lip.
As for Chet, he sort of had a good episode, but on principle I refuse to give him any props. He is being carried by people who simply want to use his vote. He is a filler. Sorry, Greg. Although your "gay guy = jury" thing may end up coming true. He will probably be in the final 12. He may even go further. He is such a non-threat that, if he makes the merge, he could stick around. Someone need to vote him off mercifully.
Next week should be fun. Hope Jonathan survives his injury. Hope Malakal can put together a win despite still having Chet. Hope Cirie takes this thing down.
Rich, I tried to warn you about the huge strong guys. It's okay, though. Fun while it lasted.
So, let me hear it. How about my girl! Cirie is a master at making things happen and then fading back in. She has controlled two of the three votes in which she was involved, and yet she has not put herself out there as the one controlling things. She is amazing. Love my pick.
Good Episode
1. Andrea. Amanda got on the same team as Ozzy, which was huge for her. Then she caught a shark. Nice.
2. Me. I have already sung the praises of Cirie. She saw it coming that she needed to swing things before she lost her chance.
3. Dan Stump. Jonathan's injury may give Eliza some room to be something other than the weakest player on her tribe.
4. Mirranda. Jason was in trouble on his tribe, so it is a good thing he got mixed up.
5. Curtis. Great moment for Tracey to see Joel ousted. Also, she didn't slip into a vulnerable position. Cirie helped her out.
Bad Episode
1. Dave. Jonathan's injury may really take him down a level. He may have trouble participating. That is a shame because he is such a great player, and so much fun to watch.
2. Megan. Erik is now in trouble on his new tribe.
3. Daren. Not really. Parvati is fine. The only problem is that James might move on now that she has that HUGE far lip.
As for Chet, he sort of had a good episode, but on principle I refuse to give him any props. He is being carried by people who simply want to use his vote. He is a filler. Sorry, Greg. Although your "gay guy = jury" thing may end up coming true. He will probably be in the final 12. He may even go further. He is such a non-threat that, if he makes the merge, he could stick around. Someone need to vote him off mercifully.
Next week should be fun. Hope Jonathan survives his injury. Hope Malakal can put together a win despite still having Chet. Hope Cirie takes this thing down.
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