Friday, February 29, 2008

Oh No! Not Again, Sarah

For the second season in a row, Sarah Blomquist gets an early exit. Tough break, Sar. Last time you picked Dave. He was great the first episode, and then he became a total spaz. This time you got the hard luck pick. Often there is a good player who gets ousted early, and this time it was Mikey B. On that note, thanks for picking him. If he was still around at #10, I definitely would have picked him up.
Who Had a Good Episode?
5. Kelly McAllister. Not much, but James did solve that puzzle. Good job.
4. Mirranda Meacham. Jason is the Fan's version of Ozzy in the challenges. In other words, he is the poor man's Ozzy. That is not a rip on Jason. Anyone's version of Ozzy is the poor man's Ozzy. It is like a high school basketball team saying, "This is our Lebron." That said, Jason is great in the challenges. He is valuable. This episode was tough for him, though, as he got outvoted at tribal. I liked his final plea, though. "Fans, Survivors, Countrymen, lend me your ears. Vote out Chet. He is the weakest player EVER!!!!" Too bad it didn't work.
3. Rich Stafford. I thought the tribe was stupid to vote out Mikey, but it was a good move for Joel. No reason to keep an enemy around.
2. Curtis Lillie. How 'bout Tracy! She is a player. She swung that vote. She just became one of my favorite fans.
1. Angela Stump. It is not even close when you ask, "Who had the best episode?" Our girl Alexis said it. Ozzy is the best physical competitor EVER on Survivor. Apologies to Terry, Colby, Lex, Boston Rob, and James. Man, Ozzy just carried them in that reward challenge. I was just laughing, watching what he did. And, once he went off to Exile Island, was there any real doubt that he would find the Immunity Idol? Not on my part. Nice. Ozzy is now the frontrunner, at least in my opinion.
Who Had a Rough Episode?
3. Dan Stump. Eliza is on the outs and she is sick. On top of that, she is taking a beating in the challenges. First she gets thrown from the cart in the first episode. Then she gets bonked on the head by Erik. This episode she got pinned by the Fans in the immunity challenge. . .and they yelled at her about it. On the bright side, she did help solve two puzzles. If you saw Eliza on Vanuatu, then you saw the real Eliza come out this episode. When she said, "You know, this isn't really motivating me to do well in the challenge," and her eyes got all big. Classic Eliza.
2. Eric Wood. It is not that anything happened with Natalie in this episode. It is just that nothing has happened with her ever. She is non-existent. Not a good sign for her to go far.
1. Greg Moffat. Greg, it is not that Chet is the weakest player this season. It is that he is the worst player in the history of Survivor. No offense, but he is terrible in the challenges, terrible socially, and he has no strategy. This episode he got saved by Tracy, and I don't even know that he wanted to be saved. If he is not the worst player ever, then he has to be the worst player to survive TWO tribal councils. Man!

So, if you saw the preview for next week, then you know that there will be a tribal mix-up. Rich, Ruth, did I not call it?
This mix-up has potential to most benefit:
1. Curtis (Tracy). Fresh start.
2. Dave (Jonathan). Fresh start, new allies.
3. Mirranda (Jason). He was a bit on the outs, and now he will be solid.
4. Karina (Amy). She has not yet found an alliance. Now she will have a chance.
This mix-up had potential to most hurt:
1. Rich (Joel). He was in such a powerful position in his tribe. Now he could be vulnerable as a big threat.
2. Andrea (Amanda). She may be fine, but she also may not have the protection of Ozzy. If she does, she'll be fine.
3. Ami (Kathleen). She will likely be the weakest on her tribe, unless she is still with Chet.
4. Greg (Chet). When his new tribe first loses, he will be the obvious choice, and Tracy may not be around to save him.

Dan's Hopes for the Mix-up
1. James and Parvati get split up. Enough of that.
2. Jonathan and Cirie are still on the same tribe. It would be great to see them continue to co-exist.
3. Joel and Chet end up on the same tribe. Joel must be forced to live with his decision to keep Chet around.

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Most Deserving

The whole Yau Man thing had me thinking. While I was not really rooting for him, who doesn't love Yau? And I have to admit that part of me wanted him to win because he is probably the most deserving player never to win. He finished fourth in Fiji, but he would have cleaned up at Final Tribal Council if he had made it. In my opinion, his problem was not that he trusted Dreams. His problem was that he chose not to pressure Dreams. In Survivor, you always put on pressure. People get annoyed, but they end up doing what you say. Usually.
That said, I think I would officially give Yau Man the title of Most Deserving Player Never to Win. But I will go ahead and give my top five runners up.
5. Colby (Outback, 2nd place). Colby would be higher except for the fact that I think he got beat fair in square by Tina. She played great. Colby, though, also played great strategically, and he dominated physically.
4. Terry/Cirie (Exile Island, 3rd and 4th place). Terry dominated in the challenges and Cirie dominated at the tribals. Terry would have won if he had been able to pull off the final immunity. Cirie would have won if she had not lost that tiebreaker.
3. Lex (Africa, 3rd place). While Ethan may have still beat Lex if they had gone head to head, Lex still ran the game. He controlled it pretty much from the start.
2. Kathy (Marquesas, 3rd place). She got betrayed at the final challenge. She would have swept final tribal EASILY.
1. Rob C. (Amazon, 3rd place). Rob switched alliances again and again throughout his season, and yet still was always in control. . .until the final vote. He was fun to watch.
Honorable mentions: Ozzy (Cook Islands), Rafe (Guatemala), Johnny Fairplay (Pearl Islands), Boston Rob (All-Stars).
Yes, I have watched a lot of Survivor. I think next time I may have to give my list of the most undeserving winners. There are certainly a few.

Thursday, February 21, 2008

Farewell to Ruth King

Well, Yau Man went. Ruth King, who picked 11th, had Yau. From the beginning, he was the only one she wanted. Sorry. Most of all, sorry that it was my girl who was the culprit. This will only further the gap between Ruth and I when it comes to Survivor. She disliked my boy Todd last season, while I road him all the way to victory. Now my girl Cirie is responsible for the ouster of her all-time fav. Sorry.
So, let's give some props to the stars of this episode:
1. James (Kelly McAllister), for getting mad when Erik threw Amanda, and for kicking butt in the reward challenge.
2. Jason (Mirranda Meacham), for actually talking, and then for carrying the Fans to immunity.
3. Jonathan (Dave McAllister), for continuing to be Jonathan and for calling out Cirie's power play and making her a target.
4. Joel (Rich Stafford), for continuing to be the main character on the Fans.
5. Cirie (me), for taking over the game for this episode.

It sounded like Yau Man was scheduled to go to Exile Island next, and that is why Cirie wanted him off. Interesting.
Also, did Amy and Eliza jump ship on Jonathan? Rough times for my favorite.

So, next week looks like a face-off.
We have Sarah vs. Rich (Mikey vs. Joel), and Dan vs. Dave (Cirie vs. Jonathan). My money is on Cirie, and not only because she is my pick. Two people from Jonathan's season are still around, and both seriously dislike him. Meanwhile, Cirie has no one from her previous season. Only Jonathan has an axe to grind with her.
My money is also on Mikey over Joel. I may be wrong, but I think Mikey can sway people against him. That said, I am hoping for Fans to go to tribal, because I think Mikey vs. Joel would be worth seeing.

These tribal councils have been interesting so far!

Congrats to the Final Seventeen. Quite an accomplishment.

Monday, February 18, 2008

Notes on Some Women

A few notes.

First of all, sorry to Faith Hardin. I would have invited you to join our pool if I would have remembered that you had commented occasionally on former Survivor posts. Consider yourself invited to Survivor 17: Sandy, Oregon. I heard that the contestants will have to see if they can survive without any street lights. Or ir might be Survivor SoCal, where the winner will be the one who can survivor rising home costs in my beloved homeland. Either way, sorry for not including you.
Secondly, Faith's comment on the last post brought up something interesting. Now, I thought I had found this great diamond in the rough by being high on Alexis. I thought she would be a great dark horse pick, and I thought she might even still be around at number 10. Alison snatched her up. Then, my sister Ami mentioned that Alexis was her first pick. Now Faith says that she would have picked Alexis. Hmmm. Four of us are high on this gal. Anyone else want to jump on the bandwagon.
By the way, all that said, I am still sticking with my girl Cirie. But, for the record:
Alexis was my first pick.
Jonathan is my favorite.
Cirie is my girl.
Finally, as you know, my sister Ami was blindsided last week when her pick Mary was voted off. Ami asked if she could snatch up Kathleen and stay in it (at least for one more week). I thought this sounded fine. And, for the record, I would have done the same for any of you. So, Ami has Kathleen.
Now, no one really has the right to complain about Ami getting a second chance. The fact is that NO ONE wanted Kathleen. She is certifiable (although she was much better on the second episode). If anyone wants to abandon their pick and trade with Ami, I would like to hear it. And I may consider it. Nevermind, that would be ridiculous. Sorry for getting your hopes up, Greg.
Man, I hope Ami doesn't lose two weeks in a row. That would be brutal.

Friday, February 15, 2008

Big Sister Gets Blindsided

So, Mary is out. Mary was picked 8th by my big sister, Ami McNay. To be fair, Ami's first pick would have been Alexis. To be fair again, no one could have seen that coming. Certainly not me. I thought Mary was a steal at pick #8. In fact, if Ami had passed her by, I may very well have scooped her up. Sorry, sis. That is just brutal luck.
I will go ahead and give my first Power Rankings of the contestants below, but first, some memos.

WEEKLY MEMOS
Memo to Chet
It is probably not a good idea to slowly mosey back to your tribe while the challenge is still going on. Especially if you are then going to later claim that you were not exhausted. If you were not exhausted, then hurry up. If you were exhausted, admit it. Instead, you looked ridiculous. Sorry, Greg. Tough stuff.

Memo to Erik
Nice work this week. You were good in the challenge. On top of that, you helped get rid of a good player, and yet no one will see you as the culprit. Let Joel and Mikey fight it out. You are in a great position. Nice, Megan.

Memo to Cirie
You rule. I am glad I picked you. Work your magic. Just remember to pace yourself. It is a long game.

Memo to Ozzy and Amanda
There are other people around! And, this is being videotaped!

Memo to Joel
Congratulations. I hope it was worth it. That was your moment. You chose to come out way too soon. You have been exposed, and no one feels close to you. You could have waited and maybe got a partner in crime before taking control of the game. Like I said, hope you enjoyed it.

WEEK 2 POWER RANKINGS
Because there are so many contestants, I am going to do separate power rankings for the Faves and the Fans.
FANS
1. Alison Gentry: Everyone likes Alexis (Joel, that is important in this game) and she did well in the challenge.
2. Megan Wood: Erik is in a great position, as I mentioned above.
3. Mirranda Meacham: Jason was almost anonymous in this episode, but he is not likely to be in trouble any time soon. Everyone seems to like him.
4. Sarah Blomquist: Mikey may have been called out, but I would still rather have a likeable guy with some game than someone with no strategy or strong people skills.
5. Rich Stafford: I have to put Joel up here, even though I tihnk he made a major mistake this week. He had a great episode, but it is likely to ruin him for the long-term. And also, he's kind of a jerk.
6. Curtis Lillie: Tracey is a little on the outs with her tribe, but she seems like the most formidable player of the ostracized three.
7. Eric Wood: Natalie is not likely to be in trouble anytime soon (what do I know, anyway?). I have yet to see any real game from her yet, though.
8. Kathleen: No one picked her (Daren switched to Parvati). I think she may (outside chance) be able to pull herself together.
9. Greg Moffat: I don't see Chet having any game socially, physically, or strategically. Not impressed.
FAVES
1. Dave McAllister: Dave picked Jonathan. Jonathan has been great so far, but the way things are split on his tribe, he could be the next out. It all depends on my girl, Cirie. This week it looked like she was with Jonathan. Next week, who knows?
2. Angela Stump: Got to admit that I did not like this pick of Ozzy, but he is being featured a lot, and he is just so, so good in the challenges. If Cirie sides with Romeo and Juliet and Cleopatra and Anthony, Ozzy may end up being the most powerful player in the game.
3. Dan Franklin: I think Cirie is in a great position. Just not too much too soon. You can do it.
4. Andrea Moffat: Amanda's name has not come up yet. If Ozzy does well, Amanda does well. As much as the couples thing can be bad, having a partner in crime works well in this game.
5. Kelly McAllister: No one is talking about voting him off. We'll see if he plays any strategy, though.
6. Dan Stump: Eliza. This is a weird one. You will understand this better if you read my last section.
7. Karina Franklin: Amy is in no trouble, and she is in an alliance. The problem: She has barely been in it so far.
8. Ruth King: Yau Man cannot slip through the cracks this time. He needs a strong alliance to help him. We'll see.
9. Daren Blomquist: Parvati could end up doing well. Right now, however, I think she is not off to a very good start.

THE STARS
When I watch Survivor I like to watch to see who the stars of this season are. Sometimes you can tell who will do well by seeing who has consistent interviews. The producers want us to get to know the players who will be around for a long time. So, here are the stars so far (in random order).
1. Jonathan. He has been all over this show. Probably the biggest star through 2 episodes.
2. Mikey. He may be in trouble, but he has been shown a lot.
3. Joel. We know he starred in this last episode.
4. Ozzy. All over it.
5. Alexis. Consistently featured.
6. Kathleen. Maybe she has been featured for bad reasons, or maybe she will be around for a long time.
7. Cirie. Especially this past episode. She seems to be a star.
8. Eliza. This is why I put her up there on the power rankings. She has been consistently shown in interviews.
9. Erik. He is the most marginal of the stars, but he still has been getting regular attention.

There you go. Others are marginally featured, and some have been barely feautred at all. Still, who knows if I know anything.

Saturday, February 9, 2008

The Picks Are In!!!

Welcome to the special Survivor Pick 'em blog. Here are the picks for Survivor Micronesia.

1. Amanda (Andrea Moffat)
2. Alexis (Alison Gentry)
3. Mikey (Sarah Blomquist)
4. Ozzy (Angela Stump)
5. Erik (Megan Wood)
6. Jason (Mirranda Meacham)
7. Joel (Rich Stafford)
8. Mary (Ami McNay)
9. Amy (Karina Franklin)
10. Cirie (Dan Franklin)
11. Yau Man (Ruth King)
12. Jonathan (Dave McAllister)
13. James (Kelly McAllister)
14. Chet (Greg Moffat)
15. Tracey (Curtis Lillie)
16. Natalie (Eric Wood)
17. Eliza (Dan Stump)
18. Kathleen (Daren Blomquist)


Now, a little commentary on the picks.
There are two groups of people that are very unappealing to me:
1. The big strong guys. Pick the athletic guy, but no the big huge guy. This season, the big sgtrong guys are James and Joel. I actually think that James is a decent pick because he may be underestimated strategically after last season (and with good reason). I wouldn't have touched Joel either, though. We'll see, Rich.
2. The hot chicks. Again, most of the women on the show are not hideous, but on every season there is at least one woman who is just out there and she is all about her appearance. This season there appear to be two: Tracey and Natalie. No wonder they went late. Sorry to Curtis and Eric.


Five Picks I like:
1. Alison Gentry: You swiped my pick! So bummed. I really like Alexis. It made me feel a little better, though, to find out that my sister wanted her also. That meant I wouldn't have got her even if Alison had let her pass. Anyway, I could be wrong, but I love that pick.
2. Sarah Blomquist: Mikey seems like someone who will get along with everyone, and who will naturally take the lead on his tribe.
3. Ami McNay: The Mary pick was a good alternative to Alexis.
4. Karina Franklin: Amy was my top pick before the first episode. She is a strong player in many respects. I love her game.
5. Dave McAllister: I love Jonathan. He is one of my all-time favorites. I wanted to pick him, but I had to let him pass. That said, most of me is still rooting for him. Who knows?


Five Picks I am not crazy about:
1. Ang Stump: Ozzy looks arrogant and as if he has a real sense of entitlement this time. I want the old Ozzy with the crazy hair. I don't know. I just have a bad feeling about him. I think he is going to try to be the Boston Rob of this season (which, if it works, will be good for him).
2. Megan Wood: Come on, picking a guy just because he has the same name as your husband. I could be wrong about Erik, but I just don't see him being as strong as Mikey and Jason.
3. Rich Stafford: I know you have good reasons for picking Joel, and you may be right. I just don't see it, though.
4. Greg Moffat: I don't know if Chet is going to last very long. That said, the pickings were slim by the time you got your pick in. And also, Jonathan was the first name on your list. Still, I might have gone with Eliza.
5. Daren Blomquist: I know you picked last, and neither Parvati nor Kathleen is an appealing pick. And, yes, Kathleen has that immunity idol. Still, she is a nut. Parvati is actually a pretty good player (in my opinion). She may find a way to stick around and get forgotten in the middle. Kathleen is insane. Who know, though? Maybe she will have time to turn it around.


My Pick:
Cirie was not my first choice. I would have picked Alexis or Mikey over her. And maybe Amy. Still, Cirie is the swing vote right now. She seems to be a bit undercover. If she can stick around, she may be able to work her skills later on. It is definitely a roll of the dice. She may be out early. Still, I felt that she had the best chance of going all the way of those remaining when I picked (10th).


Note:
Karina Franklin picked 9th. Ruth King picked 11th. Kelly McAllister picked 13th. Yet all three of them ended up with the person they originally wanted. That's good stuff.